This week finally got a strong release of regularly scheduled data, with unemployment figures coming out first, along with employment-rate data. The prior week included the Consumer Price Index, which came in favorable. Some of the unemployment-related numbers, however, weren’t as telling as they could be: the forecast was roughly 50,000, but the actual figure landed closer to 110,000. That’s an order-of-magnitude miss, suggesting we may need to allow some time for the data to … [Read more...]

In the aftermath of the recent government shutdown, the expected releases are still delayed. This round of releases is particularly impactful, involving key inflation reports from both the Consumer Price Index and the Producer Price Index. While the Federal Reserve prefers the PCE Index—and also relies on its own methods for collecting inflation data—the delay is undoubtedly troubling for the broader market, as the shutdown disrupted a wide range of services across the nation. The … [Read more...]

With the government shutdown heading into a possible resolution, there were still delays on important data such as employment report releases. This has been somewhat relieved with the release of other reports that have been delayed in the past within the current government shutdown. This time we are looking at Consumer Sentiment reports by Univ. of Michigan, which has reported a record low in sentiment in the last 6 months amidst the government shutdown. This signifies growing consumer anxiety … [Read more...]

With the ongoing government shutdown, other major releases have hit a snag, as there is still very limited information for when the shutdown may end. The largest and most impactful releases continuing to move forward are those from third-party sources still publishing data — such as the Consumer Sentiment reports — which show that consumers remain concerned about inflation but have recently grown more optimistic about the labor market. As expected, the Federal Reserve cut rates again … [Read more...]